BREAKINGAnthony Joshua vs Tyson Fury — stats-based predictionBREAKINGAnthony Joshua vs Tyson Fury — stats-based prediction

Anthony Joshua vs Tyson Fury

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
VS
🇬🇧

Tyson Fury

38-2-1
43%10% Draw47%
Joshua
Fury
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Tyson Fury a 47% edge over Anthony Joshua in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Anthony Joshua wins 89% vs Tyson Fury at 93%

Joshua
10.0
Fury
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Joshua
0.0
Fury
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 198cm / 206cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Joshua
3.4
Fury
6.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

89% survival rate vs 95%

Joshua
9.8
Fury
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 38 years old

Joshua
6.5
Fury
5.3
ExperienceWeight: ★★

37 bouts vs 41 bouts

Joshua
9.2
Fury
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.