BREAKINGCiryl Gane vs Francis Ngannou — stats-based predictionBREAKINGCiryl Gane vs Francis Ngannou — stats-based prediction

Ciryl Gane vs Francis Ngannou

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇫🇷

Ciryl Gane

13-2-0
VS
🇨🇲

Francis Ngannou

18-3-0
44%10% Draw46%
Gane
Ngannou
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Francis Ngannou a 46% edge over Ciryl Gane in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ciryl Gane wins 87% vs Francis Ngannou at 86%

Gane
10.0
Ngannou
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

46% stoppage rate vs 72%

Gane
5.5
Ngannou
8.7
DurabilityWeight: ★★

87% survival rate vs 86%

Gane
9.5
Ngannou
9.4
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Gane
5.0
Ngannou
5.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

36 years old vs 40 years old

Gane
7.0
Ngannou
3.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

15 bouts vs 21 bouts

Gane
7.7
Ngannou
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.