BREAKINGConor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov — stats-based predictionBREAKINGConor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov — stats-based prediction

Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0
VS
🇷🇺

Khabib Nurmagomedov

29-0-0
47%10% Draw43%
McGregor
Nurmagomedov
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 47% edge over Khabib Nurmagomedov in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Conor McGregor wins 79% vs Khabib Nurmagomedov at 100%

McGregor
9.4
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

86% stoppage rate vs 28%

McGregor
10.0
Nurmagomedov
3.3
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 174cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

McGregor
4.2
Nurmagomedov
5.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 100%

McGregor
8.6
Nurmagomedov
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

28 bouts vs 29 bouts

McGregor
9.7
Nurmagomedov
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 38 years old

McGregor
5.2
Nurmagomedov
5.4
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.