BREAKINGDeontay Wilder vs Joseph Parker — stats-based predictionBREAKINGDeontay Wilder vs Joseph Parker — stats-based prediction

Deontay Wilder vs Joseph Parker

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Deontay Wilder

50-4-1
VS
🇳🇿

Joseph Parker

40-4-0
45%10% Draw45%
Wilder
Parker
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Joseph Parker a 45% edge over Deontay Wilder in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Deontay Wilder wins 91% vs Joseph Parker at 91%

Wilder
10.0
Parker
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Wilder
0.0
Parker
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 202cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Wilder
6.8
Parker
3.2
DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 91%

Wilder
10.0
Parker
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

40 years old vs 34 years old

Wilder
3.0
Parker
8.7
ExperienceWeight: ★★

55 bouts vs 44 bouts

Wilder
10.0
Parker
8.4
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.