Dominick Reyes vs Henry Cejudo
Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability
PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
Dominick Reyes
16-5-0VS
Henry Cejudo
16-6-050%10% Draw40%
Reyes
Cejudo
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO
Our stats-based model gives Dominick Reyes a 50% edge over Henry Cejudo in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.
Factor Analysis
Win RateWeight: ★★★
Dominick Reyes wins 76% vs Henry Cejudo at 73%
Reyes
9.1
Cejudo
8.7
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★
63% stoppage rate vs 50%
Reyes
7.5
Cejudo
6.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★
Height 193cm / 163cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm
Reyes
7.0
Cejudo
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★
76% survival rate vs 73%
Reyes
8.4
Cejudo
8.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★
36 years old vs 39 years old
Reyes
6.7
Cejudo
3.8
ExperienceWeight: ★★
21 bouts vs 22 bouts
Reyes
9.6
Cejudo
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.