BREAKINGEzzard Charles vs Islam Makhachev — stats-based predictionBREAKINGEzzard Charles vs Islam Makhachev — stats-based prediction

Ezzard Charles vs Islam Makhachev

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Ezzard Charles

121-25-1
VS
🇷🇺

Islam Makhachev

28-1-0
44%10% Draw46%
Charles
Makhachev
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Islam Makhachev a 46% edge over Ezzard Charles in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ezzard Charles wins 82% vs Islam Makhachev at 97%

Charles
9.9
Makhachev
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 18%

Charles
0.0
Makhachev
2.1
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Charles
6.0
Makhachev
4.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

83% survival rate vs 97%

Charles
9.1
Makhachev
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

147 bouts vs 29 bouts

Charles
10.0
Makhachev
3.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

105 years old vs 34 years old

Charles
3.0
Makhachev
8.5
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.