BREAKINGFloyd Mayweather vs Ryan Garcia — stats-based predictionBREAKINGFloyd Mayweather vs Ryan Garcia — stats-based prediction

Floyd Mayweather vs Ryan Garcia

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Floyd Mayweather

50-0-0
VS

Ryan Garcia

28-2-0
42%10% Draw48%
Mayweather
Garcia
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Ryan Garcia a 48% edge over Floyd Mayweather in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Floyd Mayweather wins 100% vs Ryan Garcia at 93%

Mayweather
10.0
Garcia
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Mayweather
0.0
Garcia
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Mayweather
3.4
Garcia
6.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 93%

Mayweather
10.0
Garcia
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

49 years old vs 28 years old

Mayweather
3.0
Garcia
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

50 bouts vs 30 bouts

Mayweather
10.0
Garcia
6.8
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.