BREAKINGFrancis Ngannou vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based predictionBREAKINGFrancis Ngannou vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based prediction

Francis Ngannou vs Anthony Joshua

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇨🇲

Francis Ngannou

18-3-0
VS
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
47%10% Draw43%
Ngannou
Joshua
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Francis Ngannou a 47% edge over Anthony Joshua in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Francis Ngannou wins 86% vs Anthony Joshua at 89%

Ngannou
10.0
Joshua
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

72% stoppage rate vs 0%

Ngannou
8.7
Joshua
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 198cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Ngannou
4.0
Joshua
6.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

86% survival rate vs 89%

Ngannou
9.4
Joshua
9.8
ExperienceWeight: ★★

21 bouts vs 37 bouts

Ngannou
6.5
Joshua
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

40 years old vs 37 years old

Ngannou
3.4
Joshua
6.5
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.