BREAKINGHenry Cejudo vs Alexander Volkanovski — stats-based predictionBREAKINGHenry Cejudo vs Alexander Volkanovski — stats-based prediction

Henry Cejudo vs Alexander Volkanovski

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Henry Cejudo

16-6-0
VS
🇦🇺

Alexander Volkanovski

28-4-0
41%10% Draw49%
Cejudo
Volkanovski
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Alexander Volkanovski a 49% edge over Henry Cejudo in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Henry Cejudo wins 73% vs Alexander Volkanovski at 88%

Cejudo
8.7
Volkanovski
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

50% stoppage rate vs 46%

Cejudo
6.0
Volkanovski
5.6
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 168cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Cejudo
4.0
Volkanovski
6.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

73% survival rate vs 88%

Cejudo
8.0
Volkanovski
9.6
ExperienceWeight: ★★

22 bouts vs 32 bouts

Cejudo
7.5
Volkanovski
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 38 years old

Cejudo
3.8
Volkanovski
5.4
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.