Henry Cejudo vs Merab Dvalishvili
Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability
PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
Henry Cejudo
16-6-0VS
🇬🇪
Merab Dvalishvili
21-5-043%10% Draw47%
Cejudo
Dvalishvili
Predicted outcome: Decision
Our stats-based model gives Merab Dvalishvili a 47% edge over Henry Cejudo in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.
Factor Analysis
Win RateWeight: ★★★
Henry Cejudo wins 73% vs Merab Dvalishvili at 81%
Cejudo
8.7
Dvalishvili
9.7
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★
50% stoppage rate vs 14%
Cejudo
6.0
Dvalishvili
1.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★
Height 163cm / 168cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm
Cejudo
4.0
Dvalishvili
6.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★
73% survival rate vs 81%
Cejudo
8.0
Dvalishvili
8.9
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★
39 years old vs 35 years old
Cejudo
3.8
Dvalishvili
7.7
ExperienceWeight: ★★
22 bouts vs 26 bouts
Cejudo
8.8
Dvalishvili
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.