BREAKINGIsrael Adesanya vs Alexa Grasso — stats-based predictionBREAKINGIsrael Adesanya vs Alexa Grasso — stats-based prediction

Israel Adesanya vs Alexa Grasso

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇳🇿

Israel Adesanya

24-6-0
VS
🇲🇽

Alexa Grasso

17-5-1
49%10% Draw41%
Adesanya
Grasso
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Israel Adesanya a 49% edge over Alexa Grasso in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Israel Adesanya wins 80% vs Alexa Grasso at 74%

Adesanya
9.6
Grasso
8.9
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

67% stoppage rate vs 29%

Adesanya
8.0
Grasso
3.5
DurabilityWeight: ★★

80% survival rate vs 78%

Adesanya
8.8
Grasso
8.6
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Adesanya
5.0
Grasso
5.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 23 bouts

Adesanya
10.0
Grasso
8.1
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 33 years old

Adesanya
6.3
Grasso
8.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.