BREAKINGJake Paul vs Francis Ngannou — stats-based predictionBREAKINGJake Paul vs Francis Ngannou — stats-based prediction

Jake Paul vs Francis Ngannou

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jake Paul

14-2-0
VS
🇨🇲

Francis Ngannou

18-3-0
39%10% Draw51%
Paul
Ngannou
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Francis Ngannou a 51% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jake Paul wins 88% vs Francis Ngannou at 86%

Paul
10.0
Ngannou
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 72%

Paul
0.0
Ngannou
8.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Paul
3.0
Ngannou
7.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 86%

Paul
9.6
Ngannou
9.4
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

29 years old vs 40 years old

Paul
8.0
Ngannou
3.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

16 bouts vs 21 bouts

Paul
8.1
Ngannou
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.