John L. Sullivan vs Jake Paul

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

John L. Sullivan

46-1-3

Jake Paul

14-2-0

44%10% Draw46%

Sullivan

Paul

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Jake Paul a 46% edge over John L. Sullivan in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

John L. Sullivan wins 92% vs Jake Paul at 88%

Sullivan

10.0

Paul

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Sullivan

0.0

Paul

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 179cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Sullivan

4.2

Paul

5.8

DurabilityWeight: ★★

98% survival rate vs 88%

Sullivan

10.0

Paul

9.6

ExperienceWeight: ★★

50 bouts vs 16 bouts

Sullivan

10.0

Paul

4.6

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

168 years old vs 29 years old

Sullivan

3.0

Paul

8.0

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.