Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Kamaru Usman

21-4-0

Jorge Masvidal

35-17-0

47%10% Draw43%

Usman

Masvidal

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Kamaru Usman a 47% edge over Jorge Masvidal in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Kamaru Usman wins 84% vs Jorge Masvidal at 67%

Usman

10.0

Masvidal

8.1

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

43% stoppage rate vs 46%

Usman

5.1

Masvidal

5.5

DurabilityWeight: ★★

84% survival rate vs 67%

Usman

9.2

Masvidal

7.4

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 180cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Usman

5.6

Masvidal

4.4

ExperienceWeight: ★★

25 bouts vs 52 bouts

Usman

5.8

Masvidal

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 41 years old

Usman

4.1

Masvidal

3.0

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.