BREAKINGManny Pacquiao vs Terence Crawford — stats-based predictionBREAKINGManny Pacquiao vs Terence Crawford — stats-based prediction

Manny Pacquiao vs Terence Crawford

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇵🇭

Manny Pacquiao

73-8-3
VS

Terence Crawford

42-0-0
44%10% Draw46%
Pacquiao
Crawford
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Terence Crawford a 46% edge over Manny Pacquiao in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Manny Pacquiao wins 87% vs Terence Crawford at 100%

Pacquiao
10.0
Crawford
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Pacquiao
0.0
Crawford
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 166cm / 173cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Pacquiao
3.6
Crawford
6.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

90% survival rate vs 100%

Pacquiao
10.0
Crawford
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

84 bouts vs 42 bouts

Pacquiao
10.0
Crawford
6.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

47 years old vs 39 years old

Pacquiao
3.0
Crawford
4.4
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.