BREAKINGMerab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan — stats-based predictionBREAKINGMerab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan — stats-based prediction

Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇬🇪

Merab Dvalishvili

21-5-0
VS
🇷🇺

Petr Yan

20-4-0
42%10% Draw48%
Dvalishvili
Yan
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Petr Yan a 48% edge over Merab Dvalishvili in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Merab Dvalishvili wins 81% vs Petr Yan at 83%

Dvalishvili
9.7
Yan
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

14% stoppage rate vs 35%

Dvalishvili
1.7
Yan
4.2
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 168cm / 171cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Dvalishvili
4.4
Yan
5.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

81% survival rate vs 83%

Dvalishvili
8.9
Yan
9.2
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

35 years old vs 33 years old

Dvalishvili
7.7
Yan
9.8
ExperienceWeight: ★★

26 bouts vs 24 bouts

Dvalishvili
10.0
Yan
9.4
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.