BREAKINGOleksandr Usyk vs Deontay Wilder — stats-based predictionBREAKINGOleksandr Usyk vs Deontay Wilder — stats-based prediction

Oleksandr Usyk vs Deontay Wilder

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇺🇦

Oleksandr Usyk

24-0-0
VS

Deontay Wilder

50-4-1
41%10% Draw49%
Usyk
Wilder
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Deontay Wilder a 49% edge over Oleksandr Usyk in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Oleksandr Usyk wins 100% vs Deontay Wilder at 91%

Usyk
10.0
Wilder
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Usyk
0.0
Wilder
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 191cm / 202cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Usyk
2.8
Wilder
7.2
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 93%

Usyk
10.0
Wilder
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

24 bouts vs 55 bouts

Usyk
5.5
Wilder
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 40 years old

Usyk
3.7
Wilder
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.