BREAKINGOleksandr Usyk vs Jake Paul — stats-based predictionBREAKINGOleksandr Usyk vs Jake Paul — stats-based prediction

Oleksandr Usyk vs Jake Paul

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇺🇦

Oleksandr Usyk

24-0-0
VS

Jake Paul

14-2-0
46%10% Draw44%
Usyk
Paul
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Oleksandr Usyk a 46% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Oleksandr Usyk wins 100% vs Jake Paul at 88%

Usyk
10.0
Paul
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Usyk
0.0
Paul
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 191cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Usyk
6.6
Paul
3.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 88%

Usyk
10.0
Paul
9.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

39 years old vs 29 years old

Usyk
3.7
Paul
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

24 bouts vs 16 bouts

Usyk
10.0
Paul
7.3
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.