BREAKINGRyan Garcia vs Bernard Hopkins — stats-based predictionBREAKINGRyan Garcia vs Bernard Hopkins — stats-based prediction

Ryan Garcia vs Bernard Hopkins

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Ryan Garcia

28-2-0
VS

Bernard Hopkins

67-8-2
43%10% Draw47%
Garcia
Hopkins
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Bernard Hopkins a 47% edge over Ryan Garcia in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ryan Garcia wins 93% vs Bernard Hopkins at 87%

Garcia
10.0
Hopkins
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Garcia
0.0
Hopkins
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 185cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Garcia
3.6
Hopkins
6.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 90%

Garcia
10.0
Hopkins
9.9
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

28 years old vs 61 years old

Garcia
8.0
Hopkins
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 77 bouts

Garcia
5.1
Hopkins
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.