BREAKINGRyan Garcia vs Oleksandr Usyk — stats-based predictionBREAKINGRyan Garcia vs Oleksandr Usyk — stats-based prediction

Ryan Garcia vs Oleksandr Usyk

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Ryan Garcia

28-2-0
VS
🇺🇦

Oleksandr Usyk

24-0-0
45%10% Draw45%
Garcia
Usyk
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Oleksandr Usyk a 45% edge over Ryan Garcia in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ryan Garcia wins 93% vs Oleksandr Usyk at 100%

Garcia
10.0
Usyk
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Garcia
0.0
Usyk
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 191cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Garcia
2.4
Usyk
7.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 100%

Garcia
10.0
Usyk
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

28 years old vs 39 years old

Garcia
8.0
Usyk
3.7
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 24 bouts

Garcia
10.0
Usyk
8.4
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.