BREAKINGRyan Garcia vs Sonny Bill Williams — stats-based predictionBREAKINGRyan Garcia vs Sonny Bill Williams — stats-based prediction

Ryan Garcia vs Sonny Bill Williams

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Ryan Garcia

28-2-0
VS
🇳🇿

Sonny Bill Williams

11-2-0
50%10% Draw40%
Garcia
Williams
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Ryan Garcia a 50% edge over Sonny Bill Williams in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ryan Garcia wins 93% vs Sonny Bill Williams at 85%

Garcia
10.0
Williams
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Garcia
0.0
Williams
0.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

93% survival rate vs 85%

Garcia
10.0
Williams
9.3
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Garcia
5.0
Williams
5.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

28 years old vs 41 years old

Garcia
8.0
Williams
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 13 bouts

Garcia
10.0
Williams
5.5
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.