BREAKINGSergey Kovalev vs Artur Beterbiev — stats-based predictionBREAKINGSergey Kovalev vs Artur Beterbiev — stats-based prediction

Sergey Kovalev vs Artur Beterbiev

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Sergey Kovalev

42-5-1
VS
🇷🇺

Artur Beterbiev

22-1-0
47%10% Draw43%
Kovalev
Beterbiev
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Sergey Kovalev a 47% edge over Artur Beterbiev in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Sergey Kovalev wins 88% vs Artur Beterbiev at 96%

Kovalev
10.0
Beterbiev
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Kovalev
0.0
Beterbiev
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 184cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Kovalev
4.8
Beterbiev
5.2
DurabilityWeight: ★★

90% survival rate vs 96%

Kovalev
9.9
Beterbiev
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

48 bouts vs 23 bouts

Kovalev
10.0
Beterbiev
5.8
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

43 years old vs 41 years old

Kovalev
3.0
Beterbiev
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.