Tony Ferguson vs Katie Taylor

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Tony Ferguson

26-11-0

🇮🇪

Katie Taylor

26-1-0

50%10% Draw40%

Ferguson

Taylor

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Tony Ferguson a 50% edge over Katie Taylor in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Tony Ferguson wins 70% vs Katie Taylor at 96%

Ferguson

8.4

Taylor

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

50% stoppage rate vs 0%

Ferguson

6.0

Taylor

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 165cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Ferguson

7.0

Taylor

3.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

70% survival rate vs 96%

Ferguson

7.7

Taylor

10.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

37 bouts vs 27 bouts

Ferguson

10.0

Taylor

7.8

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 40 years old

Ferguson

3.0

Taylor

3.2

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.