BREAKINGVasyl Lomachenko vs Teófilo Stevenson — stats-based predictionBREAKINGVasyl Lomachenko vs Teófilo Stevenson — stats-based prediction

Vasyl Lomachenko vs Teófilo Stevenson

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇺🇦

Vasyl Lomachenko

21-3-0
VS
🇨🇺

Teófilo Stevenson

332-22-8
37%9% Draw54%
Lomachenko
Stevenson
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Teófilo Stevenson a 54% edge over Vasyl Lomachenko in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Vasyl Lomachenko wins 88% vs Teófilo Stevenson at 92%

Lomachenko
10.0
Stevenson
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Lomachenko
0.0
Stevenson
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 196cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Lomachenko
1.0
Stevenson
10.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 94%

Lomachenko
9.6
Stevenson
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

24 bouts vs 362 bouts

Lomachenko
2.5
Stevenson
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

38 years old vs 74 years old

Lomachenko
4.8
Stevenson
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.